Clinton vs Trump vs Johnson vs Stein

CURRENT AVERAGE CLINTON TRUMP JOHNSON STEIN
45.6 39.4 6.2 2.3
POLLSTER DATE SAMPLE CLINTON TRUMP JOHNSON STEIN
                           
ABC News Tracking 10/20 - 10/22 874 LV 50 38 5 2
IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/17 - 10/22 783 LV 41 43 7 3
Rasmussen Reports 10/18 - 10/20 1500 LV 41 43 5 3
Quinnipiac 10/17 - 10/18 1007 LV 47 40 7 1
Economist/YouGov 10/15 - 10/18 925 RV 42 38 6 1
Fox News 10/15 - 10/17 912 LV 45 39 5 3
Bloomberg 10/14 - 10/17 1006 LV 47 38 8 3
Reuters/Ipsos 10/13 - 10/17 1190 LV 42 38 6 2
Monmouth 10/14 - 10/16 726 LV 50 38 5 2
CBS News 10/12 - 10/16 1189 LV 47 38 8 3
ABC/WaPo 10/10 - 10/13 740 LV 47 43 5 2
NBC/WSJ 10/10 - 10/13 905 LV 48 37 7 2
HISTORICAL DATA
POLLSTER DATE SAMPLE CLINTON TRUMP JOHNSON STEIN
ABC News Tracking 10/20 - 10/22 874 LV 50 38 5 2
IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/17 - 10/22 783 LV 41 43 7 3
Rasmussen Reports 10/18 - 10/20 1500 LV 41 43 5 3
Quinnipiac 10/17 - 10/18 1007 LV 47 40 7 1
Economist/YouGov 10/15 - 10/18 925 RV 42 38 6 1
Fox News 10/15 - 10/17 912 LV 45 39 5 3
Bloomberg 10/14 - 10/17 1006 LV 47 38 8 3
Reuters/Ipsos 10/13 - 10/17 1190 LV 42 38 6 2
Monmouth 10/14 - 10/16 726 LV 50 38 5 2
CBS News 10/12 - 10/16 1189 LV 47 38 8 3
ABC/WaPo 10/10 - 10/13 740 LV 47 43 5 2
NBC/WSJ 10/10 - 10/13 905 LV 48 37 7 2
Economist/YouGov 10/1 - 10/3 911 RV 43 40 5 3
CNN/ORC 9/28 - 10/2 1213 LV 47 42 7 2
CBS News 9/28 - 10/2 1217 LV 45 41 8 3
Fox News 9/27 - 9/29 1009 LV 43 40 8 4
PPP 9/27 - 9/28 933 LV 44 40 6 1
Rasmussen Reports 9/26 - 9/28 1000 LV 42 41 7 2
Reuters/Ipsos 9/22 - 9/26 1041 LV 42 38 7 2
Quinnipiac 9/22 - 9/25 1115 LV 44 43 8 2
Monmouth 9/22 - 9/25 729 LV 46 42 8 2
Economist/YouGov 9/22 - 9/24 948 RV 44 41 5 2
Bloomberg 9/21 - 9/24 1002 LV 41 43 8 4
ABC/WaPo 9/19 - 9/22 651 LV 46 44 5 1
Rasmussen Reports 9/20 - 9/21 1000 LV 39 44 8 2
McClatchy/Marist 9/15 - 9/20 758 LV 45 39 10 4
Economist/YouGov 9/18 - 9/19 936 RV 40 38 7 2
NBC/WSJ 9/16 - 9/19 922 LV 43 37 9 2
Reuters/Ipsos 9/15 - 9/19 1111 LV 37 39 7 2
AP/GFK 9/15 - 9/16 1251 LV 45 39 7 2
Fox News 9/11 - 9/14 867 LV 41 40 8 3
Rasmussen Reports 9/12 - 9/13 1000 LV 42 40 7 2
Economist/YouGov 9/10 - 9/13 926 RV 42 40 5 3
CBS News/NYT 9/9 - 9/13 1433 LV 41 41 8 4
Emerson* 9/9 - 9/13 600 LV 41 43 9 2
Quinnipiac 9/8 - 9/13 960 LV 41 39 13 4
Reuters/Ipsos 9/8 - 9/12 1127 LV 39 39 8 2
ABC News/Wash Post 9/5 - 9/8 642 LV 46 41 9 2
Rasmussen Reports 9/6 - 9/7 1000 LV 43 39 9 2
Economist/YouGov 9/4 - 9/6 955 RV 40 38 7 5
Reuters/Ipsos 9/1 - 9/5 1084 LV 40 38 8 3
CNN/ORC 9/1 - 9/4 786 LV 43 45 7 2
GWU Battleground 8/28 - 9/1 1000 RV 42 40 10 3
IBD/Tipp Poll 8/26 - 9/1 861 LV 39 39 12 3
Rasmussen Reports 8/29 - 8/30 1000 LV 39 40 7 3
Fox News Poll 8/28 - 8/30 1011 RV 41 39 9 4
Economist/YouGov 8/27 - 8/29 942 RV 42 37 7 3
Reuters/Ipsos 8/25 - 8/29 1404 LV 40 38 6 2
USA Today/Suffolk 8/24 - 8/29 1000 LV 42 35 9 4
PPP Polls 8/26 - 8/28 881 LV 42 37 6 4
Monmouth 8/25 - 8/28 689 LV 46 39 7 2
Rasmussen Reports 8/23 - 8/24 1000 LV 42 38 9 2
Reuters/Ipsos 8/20 - 8/24 1049 LV 39 36 7 3
Quinnipiac 8/18 - 8/24 1498 LV 45 38 10 4
Economist/YouGov 8/19 - 8/23 906 RV 42 38 6 4
Reuters/Ipsos 8/13 - 8/17 1049 LV 39 35 7 2
Rasmussen Reports 8/15 - 8/16 1000 LV 41 39 9 3
Economist/YouGov 8/14 - 8/16 916 RV 41 35 7 3
Pew Research 8/9 - 8/16 1567 RV 41 37 10 4
Rasmussen Reports 8/9 - 8/10 1000 LV 43 40 8 2
Reuters/Ipsos 8/6 - 8/10 974 LV 40 35 7 3
Gravis 8/9 - 8/9 2832 LV 42 37 9 3

How the current average is determined:      

                                                       

In order for a poll to be included in the current average, the following conditions must be met:

 

  • When multiple respondent types are available, they will be used in the following order of preference.

Likely voters > Registered voters > Adults

 

  • All polls with a release/embargo time of 8PM ET or earlier will be added to the average by 11:59PM ET the same day.

 

  • Only polls which include all four candidates will be included in the current average.

Please note that some pollsters may do a ‘forced’ option where respondents do not get to select other/undecided.

A forced result will only be used if the pollster does not present any unforced data.

 

  • A poll will be removed from the current average when its last day of polling is more than two weeks old.

For example, a poll that was conducted 7/1-7/4 (Mon) would be removed from the average on 7/19 (Tues)

         

  • The number of polls in the average must always be no less than four. This overrides the removal of polls as stated above.      

                                                           

  • If a poll is due to be dropped but must remain due to above minimum poll rule, it will be replaced by the next poll.                 

                                                 

  • No more than one occurrence of the same pollster will occur in the current average.

 

  • The poll must be included in the list of pollsters referenced below. We reserve the right to add/remove pollsters from this list, however, there will be a 30-day waiting period from the day we post a dated notification here until those polls are added/removed from any current average.

 

  • *Effective 10/15/2016 - Emerson polling data will no longer be used in our averages.

 

Current National Pollsters Used as of 7/4/2016:

ABC/Washington Post

AP/GFK

Bloomberg

CBS/NYT or CBS News

CNBC

CNN/ORC

Emerson College* - Will Be Removed 10/15/16

Fox News

Gallup

GWU/Battleground

IBD/TIPP

Mcclatchy/Marist

Monmouth

National Journal/Heartland Monitor

NBC/WSJ

Pew Research

PRRI/The Atlantic

Public Policy Polling

Quinnipiac

Rasmussen Reports

Reuters/Ipsos

SurveyUSA

USA Today/Suffolk

YouGov/Economist